(Based on the data analysis of Chisapani, Karnali, Nepal)
1. Analysis of Rainfall
This analysis is
based on available data of Chisapani, Karnali. Climatic data of 43 years was available
for analysis from 1970 to 2013 A.D. Monthly rainfall data was analyzed to find
the trend of rainfall. Rainfall trend helps to analyze the pattern of rainfall
in future through the past data. Though data can mislead to seasonal, annual
& decade long-term generalization with demerits of the statistical mean
technique used hereby.
1.1 Pre-Monsoon Rainfall (March-May)
Pre-monsoon rainfall is shown in figure 1. There is high fluctuation in the rainfall pattern in different
years. Since 1970, pre-monsoon rainfall is found decreasing at the rate of
0.413mm/year.
1.2 Monsoon Rainfall June- September)
Monsoon rainfall is increasing by 3.3702mm/ year. The trend
is shown in the figure below.
1.3 Post-monsoon Rainfall (October- November)
Rainfall is seen fluctuating in
the post-monsoon season. The rainfall is decreasing in this season by 0.6756mm/ year.
1.4 Winter rainfall (December- February)
Winter rainfall is also declining. The rate is 0.4884 mm/
year.
1.5 Total Annual Rainfall
The rainfall
versus year graph is shown in the figure. The trend line of annual rainfall
shows that annual rainfall is increasing, with the rate 1.7931mm/year.
1.6 Average Monthly Rainfall Curve
Average monthly rainfall
curve was prepared from the given data. The average monthly rainfall is in
increasing trend by 11.832 mm/month but the rainfall is confined to only a few
months i.e. rainfall is not evenly distributed in different months. Most rainfall
occurs in the month of July, August.
2. Analysis of Temperature
For analysis of
temperature data is available for 43 years from 1970 to 2013 A.D. Minimum
temperature, maximum temperature and the average temperature was obtained from the
data analysis.
2.1 Maximum Annual Temperature
Maximum average the annual temperature was analyzed through the data. The data shows that the
maximum annual temperature is in a decreasing trend by 0.0119℃ per year.
2.2 Minimum Annual Temperature
The minimum temperature graph is shown in the
figure below. The graph shows the minimum temperature is increasing. The temperature
is increasing by 0.0246 ℃ per annum as shown in the figure.
2.3 Average Annual Temperature
The average annual temperature
(average of maximum temperature and minimum temperature) is found increasing by
0.0065 ℃ per year. The years above the trendline represents hot year whereas
below the trendline, it represents the cold year.
3. Ombrothermic Graph
Ombrothermic
graphs are graphs/diagrams that
summarize trends in temperature and precipitation in a single picture for at
least 30 years. They allow establishing the relationship between temperature
and precipitation and to determine the length of dry, wet, and extremely wet
periods.
Rainfall is high during July and August,
whereas temperature is maximum during May and June. The temperature is generally
high when there is less rainfall.
Analyzing climatic data (Nepal)
Reviewed by REGMI073's blog
on
December 19, 2019
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